In late September, the exports of ammonium phosphate and binary compound fertilizer were nearing the end, the northern preparations were basically finished, and the northeast pale storage had not yet begun. The sudden decrease in demand caused the lack of support for monoammonium phosphate prices to decline, with a drop of around 100 yuan (ton price, the same below). Currently, the mainstream ex-factory price of 55% ammonium phosphate is stable at 2850-2900 yuan. However, the export tariff of dual-factor fertilizer did not increase rumors, which eased the panic of dealers and compound fertilizer manufacturers; plus the prices of upstream phosphate rock, * yellow and other raw materials all increased to varying degrees, and the market for ammonium monophosphate will be more limited. In the absence of market demand, prices will gradually stabilize in the near future.
Upstream raw materials prices continued to increase phosphate rock, * yellow, ** is a basic raw material of monoammonium phosphate, its ups and downs have the most direct impact on monoammonium phosphate prices. According to Liu Hongbing, deputy manager of the sales department of Hubei Maosheng Biological Co., Ltd., the supply of phosphate rock is currently tight, and the overall prices have risen steadily. At present, the 29.5% phosphate ore terminal in Hubei is tax-included with a quotation of 570-580 yuan; the 31% grade terminal has a taxable price of 630-650 yuan for delivery; the 28% grade terminal has a delivery price of 500-510 yuan. The recent price increase of phosphate rock at Sichuan Mabian Yard is 10 yuan, and the 28% grade horsepower is 280 to 290 yuan. Yunnan Phosphate Group 28% grade outside the provincial car plate price 370 ~ 380 yuan, the province's delivery car plate price 260 ~ 290 yuan. The price of phosphate rock continues to rise. There are four reasons for this: First, the new ammonium phosphate plant has been put into operation in the last two years, which has stimulated a surge in demand for phosphate rock. The second is the sudden emergence of binary fertilizer exports, indirectly pulling demand for phosphate rock. Third, phosphate rock is a scarce, non-renewable resource. Some mines in China are faced with depletion of mining or decline in grades, which further exacerbates the situation of strained phosphate rock resources and indirectly stimulates price increases. Fourth, the introduction of "restricted mining" measures has helped increase the price of phosphate rock. Hubei's integration and closure of phosphate rock below 150,000 tons has had an immediate effect on the production of small phosphate rock in the province, causing a rapid increase in the price of phosphate ore.
* Yellow followed closely and prices continued to be high. As the domestic market has continued to be de-stocking, the negative impact of social resources on the market has gradually decreased. Market sentiment improved, causing capital to flow into the market to speculate, and the yellow market has steadily risen slightly. Therefore, this year's domestic yellow market again staged the "Golden 9 Silver 10" market, domestic manufacturers shipped smoothly, sales prices rose; port imports * yellow trade goods decreased, traders speculation increased; international * yellow market maintained high, first suppression After the Yang; downstream ** market shock consolidation, ** corporate price reduction insured.
However, relative performance was weak, market demand was slightly weaker, and lower-level procurement enthusiasm was low. The transaction volume was light, but the cost-backed price was less.
Downstream demand has weakened According to Yu Xianjia, head of the purchasing department of Hubei Maosheng Biological Co., Ltd., the trend of compound fertilizer this year is likely to be similar to that of 2009. After entering the fourth quarter, it will drop first and then rise. There are two main reasons: First, the domestic raw material prices for compound fertilizers remain high; Second, the downstream fertilizer is prudent and social inventory is limited. In the fourth quarter, domestic compound fertilizer manufacturers will start mass production of winter storage fertilizers. Although this year's high fertilizer prices will affect the light storage time, it may delay, but the overall domestic demand is large. At present, binary compound fertilizers are still being exported, and the space for falling raw material prices is still limited, so the downside of compound fertilizers will also be limited. In October, off-season reserves began to start. With fertilizer prices driven by raw materials and downstream fertilizer demand, it will continue to operate at high levels in the long-term, but it does not rule out that the delay in light storage will bring certain fluctuations to the compound fertilizer market.
The follow-up market is mainly stable, and 60% to 80% of the monoammonium phosphate required in the domestic autumn market has been sold. Therefore, the demand in the latter part of the market has been weakened, mainly based on replenishment. With the advance of the autumn harvest winter crops from south to north, Henan, Anhui and other provinces have already entered the peak of fertilizer use. Hebei, Shandong and other provinces are about to start preparing fertilizers, and there is a certain demand for monoammonium phosphate. The pre-order orders for the monoammonium phosphate manufacturers have been completed, and the turnover of new orders has been very limited. Some manufacturers have started overhauling; while the downstream dealers and compound fertilizer manufacturers have reduced their enthusiasm for purchasing, they are in a state of rational wait-and-see attitude, and basically take them with them. , resulting in limited purchase of monoammonium phosphate. Due to a certain amount of export orders from downstream dual-fertilizer manufacturers, the price of monoammonium phosphate will decline.
“Although the domestic demand for monoammonium phosphate is gradually reduced, but supported by the cost of phosphate ore,*yellow, and so on, the price decline of monoammonium phosphate in the latter part of the market is limited, and it is in a state of stabilized and stabilized. At present, 55% of powder ammonium is 2850-2900 yuan. The factory price will continue to be maintained for some time." Yu Xianjia said to reporters with confidence.
Upstream raw materials prices continued to increase phosphate rock, * yellow, ** is a basic raw material of monoammonium phosphate, its ups and downs have the most direct impact on monoammonium phosphate prices. According to Liu Hongbing, deputy manager of the sales department of Hubei Maosheng Biological Co., Ltd., the supply of phosphate rock is currently tight, and the overall prices have risen steadily. At present, the 29.5% phosphate ore terminal in Hubei is tax-included with a quotation of 570-580 yuan; the 31% grade terminal has a taxable price of 630-650 yuan for delivery; the 28% grade terminal has a delivery price of 500-510 yuan. The recent price increase of phosphate rock at Sichuan Mabian Yard is 10 yuan, and the 28% grade horsepower is 280 to 290 yuan. Yunnan Phosphate Group 28% grade outside the provincial car plate price 370 ~ 380 yuan, the province's delivery car plate price 260 ~ 290 yuan. The price of phosphate rock continues to rise. There are four reasons for this: First, the new ammonium phosphate plant has been put into operation in the last two years, which has stimulated a surge in demand for phosphate rock. The second is the sudden emergence of binary fertilizer exports, indirectly pulling demand for phosphate rock. Third, phosphate rock is a scarce, non-renewable resource. Some mines in China are faced with depletion of mining or decline in grades, which further exacerbates the situation of strained phosphate rock resources and indirectly stimulates price increases. Fourth, the introduction of "restricted mining" measures has helped increase the price of phosphate rock. Hubei's integration and closure of phosphate rock below 150,000 tons has had an immediate effect on the production of small phosphate rock in the province, causing a rapid increase in the price of phosphate ore.
* Yellow followed closely and prices continued to be high. As the domestic market has continued to be de-stocking, the negative impact of social resources on the market has gradually decreased. Market sentiment improved, causing capital to flow into the market to speculate, and the yellow market has steadily risen slightly. Therefore, this year's domestic yellow market again staged the "Golden 9 Silver 10" market, domestic manufacturers shipped smoothly, sales prices rose; port imports * yellow trade goods decreased, traders speculation increased; international * yellow market maintained high, first suppression After the Yang; downstream ** market shock consolidation, ** corporate price reduction insured.
However, relative performance was weak, market demand was slightly weaker, and lower-level procurement enthusiasm was low. The transaction volume was light, but the cost-backed price was less.
Downstream demand has weakened According to Yu Xianjia, head of the purchasing department of Hubei Maosheng Biological Co., Ltd., the trend of compound fertilizer this year is likely to be similar to that of 2009. After entering the fourth quarter, it will drop first and then rise. There are two main reasons: First, the domestic raw material prices for compound fertilizers remain high; Second, the downstream fertilizer is prudent and social inventory is limited. In the fourth quarter, domestic compound fertilizer manufacturers will start mass production of winter storage fertilizers. Although this year's high fertilizer prices will affect the light storage time, it may delay, but the overall domestic demand is large. At present, binary compound fertilizers are still being exported, and the space for falling raw material prices is still limited, so the downside of compound fertilizers will also be limited. In October, off-season reserves began to start. With fertilizer prices driven by raw materials and downstream fertilizer demand, it will continue to operate at high levels in the long-term, but it does not rule out that the delay in light storage will bring certain fluctuations to the compound fertilizer market.
The follow-up market is mainly stable, and 60% to 80% of the monoammonium phosphate required in the domestic autumn market has been sold. Therefore, the demand in the latter part of the market has been weakened, mainly based on replenishment. With the advance of the autumn harvest winter crops from south to north, Henan, Anhui and other provinces have already entered the peak of fertilizer use. Hebei, Shandong and other provinces are about to start preparing fertilizers, and there is a certain demand for monoammonium phosphate. The pre-order orders for the monoammonium phosphate manufacturers have been completed, and the turnover of new orders has been very limited. Some manufacturers have started overhauling; while the downstream dealers and compound fertilizer manufacturers have reduced their enthusiasm for purchasing, they are in a state of rational wait-and-see attitude, and basically take them with them. , resulting in limited purchase of monoammonium phosphate. Due to a certain amount of export orders from downstream dual-fertilizer manufacturers, the price of monoammonium phosphate will decline.
“Although the domestic demand for monoammonium phosphate is gradually reduced, but supported by the cost of phosphate ore,*yellow, and so on, the price decline of monoammonium phosphate in the latter part of the market is limited, and it is in a state of stabilized and stabilized. At present, 55% of powder ammonium is 2850-2900 yuan. The factory price will continue to be maintained for some time." Yu Xianjia said to reporters with confidence.
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