Polysilicon shutdown in 2012 exceeded 10 billion

On March 18th, China Polysilicon Industry Technology Innovation Alliance will hold a meeting in Shanghai to discuss countermeasures. Nearly 20 domestic mainstream polysilicon enterprises and China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association will attend. "Under the low price dumping of polysilicon enterprises in the United States and South Korea, it is estimated that more polysilicon enterprises will go bankrupt this year." On March 15, a domestic polysilicon executive revealed that the current production suspension involves 10,000 employees. Livelihoods have affected over 10 billion yuan of investment. Under the great pressure of bankruptcy, China's polysilicon enterprises are uniting and demanding relevant state departments to launch "double-reverse" investigations on polysilicon enterprises in the United States and South Korea. According to the China Nonferrous Metals Association, since the second half of 2011, China's polysilicon industry has experienced a serious inventory backlog. Only 8 of the 43 polysilicon enterprises that have been put into production are still in production. The rest of the companies have stopped production and the shutdown rate has reached 80%. Most of the still-starting enterprises are running at a loss and are gradually reducing production. Zhao Jiasheng, president of the Silicon Industry Branch of the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, admitted that the association is doing data surveys on the polysilicon industry that are subject to low-cost dumping damage. “Including the US and South Korean companies selling at a low price, is it lower than their own cost price? Sales, and strive to be true and accurate." US and South Korean enterprise subsidies and dumping In 2011, China imported a total of 64,613.86 tons of polysilicon, an increase of 36.00% year-on-year; of this, 21,361 tons were imported from South Korea, up 89.47% year-on-year, and imports from the United States were second only to South Korea, reaching 17,476.32 tons. The aforementioned PV company executives revealed that the main markets of South Korea's OCI and US Hemlock-based polysilicon giants are all China, and 70% of South Korean companies' polysilicon are shipped to China. For example, the executives currently offer the lowest price of silicon materials for Chinese companies at 23-25 ​​US dollars / kg, and the market even rumors have to drop to 20 US dollars / kg, "but if you add import and export tariffs, shipping and other costs, to China There is a lot of cost in the middle, the total cost is between 25-30 USD/kg, which is already a loss sales, and such loss sales can also be reflected in the financial statements of the major manufacturers in the fourth quarter of 2011. . In the first three months of 2011, the mainstream price of polysilicon fluctuated around 90 US dollars/kg. Then, with the introduction of Italian subsidy policy in March and the reduction of demand from European countries, the global PV market turned sharply. The price of polysilicon in November has fallen to US$30/ Kilograms, breaking the bottom line of most polysilicon enterprises in China. The aforementioned executives told reporters that the current polysilicon cost of Zhongneng Silicon and LDK is above US$20/kg, which can basically compete with foreign giants, but most polysilicon companies cost more than US$35/kg. The key is that low-cost dumping by foreign companies is an abnormal competition. The China Photovoltaic Union survey shows that many states in the United States continue to subsidize US polysilicon companies through various support policies. For example, in 2010, Hemlock and REC companies received hundreds of millions of dollars. Government subsidies, subsidized electricity prices are even lower than the federal average electricity price level. On January 8, 2010, the United States announced the list of companies that benefited and the tax-free amount. Four of the six largest polysilicon manufacturing companies in the United States are on the list: Hemlock Won $140 million, Wacker $128 million, REC $150 million, and AE Polysilicon $44 million. Korean companies such as OCI are receiving preferential loans and huge subsidies. The Korean government's stated goal is to bring clean energy products to the international market. Market share increased by 8 percentage points, focusing on technologies such as photovoltaics, and plans to be in the period 2009-2013 2% of GDP is invested in these behaviors, while giving the most favorable tax treatment. The pain of history in the United States increased the export volume of polysilicon from China from 5,371 tons in 2008 to 17,476 tons in 2011, an increase of 225%; In 2008, the US$750 million grew to US$1.04 billion in 2011. In South Korea, the polysilicon industry has mostly evaluated the competitive pressure brought by Korean polysilicon companies with “Korean boom”. For example, at the end of 2011, OCI even marked polysilicon. The price of 20 US dollars / kg. A photovoltaic company has questioned this, "based on OCI cost, one kilogram of polysilicon should be around 30 dollars, selling 20 dollars is purely a gimmick. At present, the number of polysilicon projects above the scale that have been stably put into operation in the country has reached 43 and the total production capacity in 2011 is 145,000 tons. Among them, Baoli GCL, Jiangxi Saiwei, Luoyang Zhongsi and Chongqing Daquan rank among the top ten in the world. The size of polysilicon enterprises accounts for 70% of China's total production capacity. "Since the rise of China's polysilicon raw materials, the price of polysilicon has dropped from US$300/kg in the abnormally high period in 2008 to US$30-50/kg in 2011. The aforementioned executives said that due to the sufficient supply of domestic raw materials, domestic solar energy companies would rather pay high liquidated damages and cancel the long-term orders with overseas polysilicon companies. For example, Suntech paid $212 million in liquidated damages to MEMC to relieve the fulfillment. A five-year long-term contract; REC and WACKER each received 40 million and 60 million euros of contract cancellation fees, which are believed to come from Chinese companies. An executive from Luoyang Zhongmu reminded that China's polysilicon developed to the heyday of the seventies There were as many as 20 polysilicon enterprises in the past, but in the 1990s, European and American countries launched a round of low-cost dumping of polysilicon. The price was as low as 20-30 US dollars/kg, far lower than its production cost, which caused Chinese polysilicon enterprises to close down. Only the experimental plant of Sichuan Emei 739 Factory maintains several tens of tons per year.

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